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HHT: 11CSV

23 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.8%
Mouscron
28.7%
Draw
36.5%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Mouscron

vs
1.25

Waregem

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).