Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Burnley
28.9%
Draw
48.5%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Burnley
vs
1.54
Everton
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).