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04 Feb 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.2%
Charleroi
16.7%
Draw
8.1%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

2.39

Charleroi

vs
0.67

Seraing

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).