Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Cardiff
26.2%
Draw
39.3%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Cardiff
vs
1.52
Leicester
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).