Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.6%
AEK
18.5%
Draw
6.0%
Xanthi
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
AEK
vs
0.45
Xanthi
Markets
BTTS32.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.3%
1-0
15.8%
3-0
12.1%
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).