Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Casa Pia
31.5%
Draw
43.0%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Casa Pia
vs
1.22
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
14.0%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).