Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Northampton
29.8%
Draw
22.5%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Northampton
vs
0.70
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).