Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Las Palmas
29.4%
Draw
33.3%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Las Palmas
vs
1.10
Leganes
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).