Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Accrington
25.4%
Draw
40.7%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Accrington
vs
1.27
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).