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23 Nov 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.8%
Bodrumspor
24.9%
Draw
69.3%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.42

Bodrumspor

vs
1.80

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS30.5%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
17.6%
0-1
17.5%
0-0
13.0%
0-3
10.6%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
1-0
2.5%
1-4
2.0%
0-5
1.7%
2-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).