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AHT: 00CSV

17 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.3%
Eastleigh
22.3%
Draw
17.4%
Ebbsfleet

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Eastleigh

vs
1.04

Ebbsfleet

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).