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AHT: 01CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.1%
Wycombe
26.5%
Draw
36.4%
Portsmouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Wycombe

vs
1.12

Portsmouth

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).