Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Ascoli
34.4%
Draw
44.6%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Ascoli
vs
1.11
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.526.4%
Over 3.510.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.1%
0-1
17.4%
1-1
13.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).