Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Brescia
31.9%
Draw
30.3%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Brescia
vs
1.01
Trapani
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).