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07 Dec 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Kocaelispor
40.9%
Draw
19.6%
Kasımpaşa

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Kocaelispor

vs
0.62

Kasımpaşa

Markets

BTTS31.5%
Over 0.576.3%
Over 1.549.9%
Over 2.521.1%
Over 3.57.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.7%
1-0
16.8%
1-1
15.3%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
0-3
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).