Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Alcorcon
35.4%
Draw
32.9%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Alcorcon
vs
0.80
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS29.6%
Over 0.579.5%
Over 1.546.6%
Over 2.521.1%
Over 3.57.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.5%
0-1
16.6%
1-0
16.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
2.0%
0-3
1.8%
3-0
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).