Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Genk
27.4%
Draw
55.7%
St. Gilloise
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Genk
vs
1.51
St. Gilloise
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
12.3%
0-0
11.5%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).