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01 Mar 2020 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.0%
Denizlispor
32.1%
Draw
14.9%
Yeni Malatyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Denizlispor

vs
0.72

Yeni Malatyaspor

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).