Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Frosinone
16.5%
Draw
7.6%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Frosinone
vs
0.69
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).