Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Reading
26.2%
Draw
44.6%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Reading
vs
1.28
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).