Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Sociedad
28.2%
Draw
41.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Sociedad
vs
1.25
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).