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DHT: 00CSV

19 Feb 2016

Lens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Sochaux
27.4%
Draw
32.6%
Lens

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Sochaux

vs
0.99

Lens

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).