Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.0%
Mainz
23.6%
Draw
15.4%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Mainz
vs
0.82
Bochum
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).