⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 01CSV

16 Jan 2016

Modena

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.8%
Vicenza
32.1%
Draw
39.1%
Modena

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Vicenza

vs
1.17

Modena

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).