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27 Dec 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.2%
Venezia
16.4%
Draw
6.5%
Virtus Entella

Expected Goals (xG)

2.41

Venezia

vs
0.59

Virtus Entella

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.5%
3-0
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.8%
4-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
0-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).