Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Brentford
27.6%
Draw
31.4%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Brentford
vs
1.36
Brighton
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).