Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Krylya Sovetov
27.6%
Draw
27.0%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Krylya Sovetov
vs
1.18
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).