Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Barrow
27.0%
Draw
50.2%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Barrow
vs
1.35
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).