Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Orenburg
35.4%
Draw
51.4%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Orenburg
vs
1.11
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS24.9%
Over 0.577.5%
Over 1.547.0%
Over 2.520.3%
Over 3.57.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.5%
0-1
22.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-0
2.0%
0-4
1.3%
2-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).