Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Colchester
28.9%
Draw
23.5%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Colchester
vs
0.76
Southend
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).