Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Hanworth Villa
22.8%
Draw
32.5%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Hanworth Villa
vs
1.43
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).