Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Aldershot
17.8%
Draw
17.8%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Aldershot
vs
1.45
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS72.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.579.1%
Over 3.560.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
3-2
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
4-2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).