Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.4%
Pisa
20.5%
Draw
66.0%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Pisa
vs
1.93
Napoli
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.4%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
0-4
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).