Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Morecambe
24.0%
Draw
50.6%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Morecambe
vs
1.59
Salford
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).