Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Las Palmas
31.2%
Draw
37.3%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Las Palmas
vs
1.06
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).