Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
M'gladbach
24.8%
Draw
19.8%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
M'gladbach
vs
0.99
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).