Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Sociedad
26.1%
Draw
30.1%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Sociedad
vs
1.19
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).