Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Metz
20.3%
Draw
35.4%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Metz
vs
1.87
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS74.1%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.556.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
1-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
5.1%
2-3
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).