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19 Oct 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.5%
Elche
27.0%
Draw
30.5%
Crowborough Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Elche

vs
1.17

Crowborough Athletic

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).