Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Port Vale
19.6%
Draw
12.6%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Port Vale
vs
0.69
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).