Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Portsmouth
33.5%
Draw
29.9%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Portsmouth
vs
0.90
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.7%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).