Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
30.1%
Draw
47.2%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.45
Brighton
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).