Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.1%
Valenciennes
17.4%
Draw
72.5%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Valenciennes
vs
2.04
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-2
15.2%
0-3
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.9%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
0-4
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
1-4
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).