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07 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.7%
Polissya Zhytomyr
23.5%
Draw
14.9%
Karpaty

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Polissya Zhytomyr

vs
0.74

Karpaty

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).