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02 Mar 2025 · 13:00

Getafe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Leganes
33.7%
Draw
31.4%
Getafe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Leganes

vs
0.86

Getafe

Markets

BTTS35.0%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.553.4%
Over 2.526.4%
Over 3.510.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.2%
1-0
15.3%
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).