Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Milan
20.1%
Draw
12.2%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Milan
vs
0.68
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).