Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Fatih Karagümrük
23.8%
Draw
63.1%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Fatih Karagümrük
vs
2.19
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).