Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Palermo
27.0%
Draw
33.5%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Palermo
vs
1.38
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).