Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Le Havre
35.3%
Draw
27.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Le Havre
vs
0.64
Troyes
Markets
BTTS25.3%
Over 0.577.6%
Over 1.541.6%
Over 2.517.9%
Over 3.56.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.4%
1-0
20.1%
0-1
15.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
5.0%
0-2
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
2.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
0-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).