Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Fleetwood Town
24.1%
Draw
32.1%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).